Analysis
Analysis
Short, data-first pieces on what the numbers say. Every claim is tied to a source.
October 30, 2026 · 3 min read
What to watch Tuesday: 8 counties that decide Mississippi's Senate race
Eight mid-sized counties, six of which voted for Mike Espy in 2020 and then for Roger Wicker in 2024, will show early on election night whether Scott Colom is outrunning the fundamentals.
October 29, 2026 · 2 min read
The Reeves gap: why the 2027 governor's race is closer than federal races suggest
Donald Trump carried Mississippi by 22.9 points in 2024. A year earlier, Gov. Tate Reeves won by 3.2. The difference matters for the open 2027 race.
October 28, 2026 · 3 min read
Turnout, explained: the one slider that moves Mississippi's Senate race
In Mississippi, who votes matters as much as how they vote. Here is the data behind the turnout control on our forecast page.
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