Union County
Union County voted R+70.1 for president in 2024, which is 47.3 points more Republican than the state. Black residents are 16.1% of the population (ACS).
Senate 2026 projection
R+59.2
Model, statewide R+6.5
Gov 2027 (strong Dem) projection
R+47.1
Model, a year out
Senate swing 2020→2024
+16.4
Positive = toward R
Reeves gap
23.9 pts
Trump 2024 minus Reeves 2023; #11 of 82
Election history
Show all 12 elections, 2018–2024, county vs. state
| Election | County | State | County vs state | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 Senate: Wicker (R) v. Baria (D) | R+66.5 | R+19.0 | +47.5 | 8,239 |
| 2018 Senate special runoff: Hyde-Smith (R) v. Espy (D) | R+60.0 | R+7.3 | +52.7 | 8,013 |
| 2019 Governor: Reeves (R) v. Hood (D) | R+40.3 | R+5.1 | +35.2 | 9,072 |
| 2019 Lt. Governor: Hosemann (R) v. Hughes (D) | R+59.0 | R+20.0 | +39.0 | 9,031 |
| 2019 Attorney General: Fitch (R) v. Collins (D) | R+63.3 | R+15.7 | +47.6 | 9,009 |
| 2020 President: Trump (R) v. Biden (D) | R+64.8 | R+16.5 | +48.2 | 12,683 |
| 2020 Senate: Hyde-Smith (R) v. Espy (D) | R+54.6 | R+10.0 | +44.6 | 12,656 |
| 2023 Governor: Reeves (R) v. Presley (D) | R+46.2 | R+3.2 | +43.0 | 7,546 |
| 2023 Lt. Governor: Hosemann (R) v. Grover (D) | R+68.5 | R+21.5 | +47.0 | 7,427 |
| 2023 Attorney General: Fitch (R) v. Kemp Martin (D) | R+66.2 | R+16.1 | +50.1 | 7,497 |
| 2024 President: Trump (R) v. Harris (D) | R+70.1 | R+22.9 | +47.3 | 12,478 |
| 2024 Senate: Wicker (R) v. Pinkins (D) | R+71.0 | R+25.6 | +45.4 | 12,263 |
Margins are Republican minus Democrat, as a share of all votes cast. Turnout in the 2018 runoff was 36.7% lower than in the 2020 Senate race.
2024 presidential margin; Union outlined
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