Newton County
Newton County voted R+43.3 for president in 2024, which is 20.4 points more Republican than the state. Black residents are 31.8% of the population (ACS).
Senate 2026 projection
R+33.0
Model, statewide R+6.5
Gov 2027 (strong Dem) projection
R+29.6
Model, a year out
Senate swing 2020→2024
+11.1
Positive = toward R
Reeves gap
14.6 pts
Trump 2024 minus Reeves 2023; #55 of 82
Election history
Show all 12 elections, 2018–2024, county vs. state
| Election | County | State | County vs state | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 Senate: Wicker (R) v. Baria (D) | R+41.9 | R+19.0 | +22.9 | 7,104 |
| 2018 Senate special runoff: Hyde-Smith (R) v. Espy (D) | R+33.8 | R+7.3 | +26.5 | 6,943 |
| 2019 Governor: Reeves (R) v. Hood (D) | R+26.6 | R+5.1 | +21.5 | 7,351 |
| 2019 Lt. Governor: Hosemann (R) v. Hughes (D) | R+38.0 | R+20.0 | +17.9 | 7,369 |
| 2019 Attorney General: Fitch (R) v. Collins (D) | R+38.9 | R+15.7 | +23.3 | 7,341 |
| 2020 President: Trump (R) v. Biden (D) | R+38.5 | R+16.5 | +22.0 | 10,183 |
| 2020 Senate: Hyde-Smith (R) v. Espy (D) | R+33.3 | R+10.0 | +23.3 | 10,125 |
| 2023 Governor: Reeves (R) v. Presley (D) | R+28.7 | R+3.2 | +25.4 | 6,323 |
| 2023 Lt. Governor: Hosemann (R) v. Grover (D) | R+39.3 | R+21.5 | +17.9 | 6,248 |
| 2023 Attorney General: Fitch (R) v. Kemp Martin (D) | R+37.1 | R+16.1 | +21.0 | 6,277 |
| 2024 President: Trump (R) v. Harris (D) | R+43.3 | R+22.9 | +20.4 | 9,323 |
| 2024 Senate: Wicker (R) v. Pinkins (D) | R+44.4 | R+25.6 | +18.8 | 9,219 |
Margins are Republican minus Democrat, as a share of all votes cast. Turnout in the 2018 runoff was 31.4% lower than in the 2020 Senate race.
2024 presidential margin; Newton outlined
Get the Mississippi numbers in your inbox
A free weekly email with forecast updates, county shifts and new analysis, plus election-night alerts. Nonpartisan and data-first.
Free. Unsubscribe anytime.