Marshall County
Marshall County voted R+7.3 for president in 2024, which is 15.6 points more Democratic than the state. Black residents are 43.7% of the population (ACS).
Senate 2026 projection
D+18.1
Model, statewide R+6.5
Gov 2027 (strong Dem) projection
D+1.5
Model, a year out
Senate swing 2020→2024
+20.7
Positive = toward R
Reeves gap
9.7 pts
Trump 2024 minus Reeves 2023; #77 of 82
Election history
Show all 12 elections, 2018–2024, county vs. state
| Election | County | State | County vs state | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 Senate: Wicker (R) v. Baria (D) | D+2.5 | R+19.0 | -21.5 | 11,313 |
| 2018 Senate special runoff: Hyde-Smith (R) v. Espy (D) | D+17.3 | R+7.3 | -24.6 | 10,796 |
| 2019 Governor: Reeves (R) v. Hood (D) | D+7.2 | R+5.1 | -12.2 | 9,117 |
| 2019 Lt. Governor: Hosemann (R) v. Hughes (D) | R+1.5 | R+20.0 | -18.5 | 8,773 |
| 2019 Attorney General: Fitch (R) v. Collins (D) | D+1.0 | R+15.7 | -16.7 | 8,970 |
| 2020 President: Trump (R) v. Biden (D) | D+3.1 | R+16.5 | -19.6 | 15,817 |
| 2020 Senate: Hyde-Smith (R) v. Espy (D) | D+10.7 | R+10.0 | -20.7 | 15,706 |
| 2023 Governor: Reeves (R) v. Presley (D) | D+2.5 | R+3.2 | -5.7 | 9,161 |
| 2023 Lt. Governor: Hosemann (R) v. Grover (D) | R+3.2 | R+21.5 | -18.3 | 8,853 |
| 2023 Attorney General: Fitch (R) v. Kemp Martin (D) | R+8.1 | R+16.1 | -8.1 | 8,891 |
| 2024 President: Trump (R) v. Harris (D) | R+7.3 | R+22.9 | -15.6 | 14,983 |
| 2024 Senate: Wicker (R) v. Pinkins (D) | R+9.9 | R+25.6 | -15.7 | 14,734 |
Margins are Republican minus Democrat, as a share of all votes cast. Turnout in the 2018 runoff was 31.3% lower than in the 2020 Senate race.
2024 presidential margin; Marshall outlined
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