Madison County
Madison County voted R+17.3 for president in 2024, which is 5.6 points more Democratic than the state. Black residents are 37.3% of the population (ACS).
Senate 2026 projection
R+8.9
Model, statewide R+6.5
Gov 2027 (strong Dem) projection
R+3.0
Model, a year out
Senate swing 2020→2024
+15.2
Positive = toward R
Reeves gap
15.2 pts
Trump 2024 minus Reeves 2023; #48 of 82
Election history
Show all 12 elections, 2018–2024, county vs. state
| Election | County | State | County vs state | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 Senate: Wicker (R) v. Baria (D) | R+18.1 | R+19.0 | -0.9 | 40,553 |
| 2018 Senate special runoff: Hyde-Smith (R) v. Espy (D) | R+9.7 | R+7.3 | +2.4 | 42,965 |
| 2019 Governor: Reeves (R) v. Hood (D) | D+1.7 | R+5.1 | -6.8 | 39,025 |
| 2019 Lt. Governor: Hosemann (R) v. Hughes (D) | R+23.3 | R+20.0 | +3.2 | 39,056 |
| 2019 Attorney General: Fitch (R) v. Collins (D) | R+15.8 | R+15.7 | +0.1 | 38,983 |
| 2020 President: Trump (R) v. Biden (D) | R+11.8 | R+16.5 | -4.7 | 56,212 |
| 2020 Senate: Hyde-Smith (R) v. Espy (D) | R+8.3 | R+10.0 | -1.7 | 56,235 |
| 2023 Governor: Reeves (R) v. Presley (D) | R+2.0 | R+3.2 | -1.2 | 38,868 |
| 2023 Lt. Governor: Hosemann (R) v. Grover (D) | R+27.3 | R+21.5 | +5.8 | 38,483 |
| 2023 Attorney General: Fitch (R) v. Kemp Martin (D) | R+13.5 | R+16.1 | -2.6 | 38,609 |
| 2024 President: Trump (R) v. Harris (D) | R+17.3 | R+22.9 | -5.6 | 55,710 |
| 2024 Senate: Wicker (R) v. Pinkins (D) | R+23.5 | R+25.6 | -2.1 | 55,361 |
Margins are Republican minus Democrat, as a share of all votes cast. Turnout in the 2018 runoff was 23.6% lower than in the 2020 Senate race.
2024 presidential margin; Madison outlined
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