Lee County
Lee County voted R+38.8 for president in 2024, which is 15.9 points more Republican than the state. Black residents are 29.9% of the population (ACS).
Senate 2026 projection
R+26.4
Model, statewide R+6.5
Gov 2027 (strong Dem) projection
R+13.1
Model, a year out
Senate swing 2020→2024
+15.0
Positive = toward R
Reeves gap
26.7 pts
Trump 2024 minus Reeves 2023; #6 of 82
Election history
Show all 12 elections, 2018–2024, county vs. state
| Election | County | State | County vs state | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 Senate: Wicker (R) v. Baria (D) | R+38.0 | R+19.0 | +19.0 | 25,661 |
| 2018 Senate special runoff: Hyde-Smith (R) v. Espy (D) | R+27.1 | R+7.3 | +19.9 | 25,946 |
| 2019 Governor: Reeves (R) v. Hood (D) | R+17.4 | R+5.1 | +12.3 | 25,172 |
| 2019 Lt. Governor: Hosemann (R) v. Hughes (D) | R+35.3 | R+20.0 | +15.2 | 25,076 |
| 2019 Attorney General: Fitch (R) v. Collins (D) | R+31.1 | R+15.7 | +15.5 | 24,987 |
| 2020 President: Trump (R) v. Biden (D) | R+32.5 | R+16.5 | +16.0 | 36,954 |
| 2020 Senate: Hyde-Smith (R) v. Espy (D) | R+25.4 | R+10.0 | +15.4 | 36,856 |
| 2023 Governor: Reeves (R) v. Presley (D) | R+12.1 | R+3.2 | +8.9 | 23,390 |
| 2023 Lt. Governor: Hosemann (R) v. Grover (D) | R+39.2 | R+21.5 | +17.7 | 22,968 |
| 2023 Attorney General: Fitch (R) v. Kemp Martin (D) | R+34.1 | R+16.1 | +18.0 | 22,989 |
| 2024 President: Trump (R) v. Harris (D) | R+38.8 | R+22.9 | +15.9 | 35,338 |
| 2024 Senate: Wicker (R) v. Pinkins (D) | R+40.5 | R+25.6 | +14.8 | 34,767 |
Margins are Republican minus Democrat, as a share of all votes cast. Turnout in the 2018 runoff was 29.6% lower than in the 2020 Senate race.
2024 presidential margin; Lee outlined
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