Lawrence County
Lawrence County voted R+36.6 for president in 2024, which is 13.7 points more Republican than the state. Black residents are 31.8% of the population (ACS).
Senate 2026 projection
R+24.7
Model, statewide R+6.5
Gov 2027 (strong Dem) projection
R+14.5
Model, a year out
Senate swing 2020→2024
+9.0
Positive = toward R
Reeves gap
23.0 pts
Trump 2024 minus Reeves 2023; #14 of 82
Election history
Show all 12 elections, 2018–2024, county vs. state
| Election | County | State | County vs state | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 Senate: Wicker (R) v. Baria (D) | R+33.7 | R+19.0 | +14.7 | 4,861 |
| 2018 Senate special runoff: Hyde-Smith (R) v. Espy (D) | R+25.4 | R+7.3 | +18.2 | 5,137 |
| 2019 Governor: Reeves (R) v. Hood (D) | R+17.4 | R+5.1 | +12.3 | 5,153 |
| 2019 Lt. Governor: Hosemann (R) v. Hughes (D) | R+33.1 | R+20.0 | +13.1 | 5,068 |
| 2019 Attorney General: Fitch (R) v. Collins (D) | R+28.5 | R+15.7 | +12.9 | 5,110 |
| 2020 President: Trump (R) v. Biden (D) | R+30.6 | R+16.5 | +14.1 | 6,613 |
| 2020 Senate: Hyde-Smith (R) v. Espy (D) | R+28.9 | R+10.0 | +18.9 | 6,597 |
| 2023 Governor: Reeves (R) v. Presley (D) | R+13.6 | R+3.2 | +10.3 | 4,467 |
| 2023 Lt. Governor: Hosemann (R) v. Grover (D) | R+31.2 | R+21.5 | +9.7 | 4,422 |
| 2023 Attorney General: Fitch (R) v. Kemp Martin (D) | R+28.9 | R+16.1 | +12.8 | 4,448 |
| 2024 President: Trump (R) v. Harris (D) | R+36.6 | R+22.9 | +13.7 | 6,053 |
| 2024 Senate: Wicker (R) v. Pinkins (D) | R+37.8 | R+25.6 | +12.2 | 6,004 |
Margins are Republican minus Democrat, as a share of all votes cast. Turnout in the 2018 runoff was 22.1% lower than in the 2020 Senate race.
2024 presidential margin; Lawrence outlined
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