Jasper County
Jasper County voted R+5.0 for president in 2024, which is 17.9 points more Democratic than the state. Black residents are 53.2% of the population (ACS).
Senate 2026 projection
D+14.4
Model, statewide R+6.5
Gov 2027 (strong Dem) projection
D+12.4
Model, a year out
Senate swing 2020→2024
+12.1
Positive = toward R
Reeves gap
18.3 pts
Trump 2024 minus Reeves 2023; #37 of 82
Election history
Show all 12 elections, 2018–2024, county vs. state
| Election | County | State | County vs state | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 Senate: Wicker (R) v. Baria (D) | D+2.6 | R+19.0 | -21.6 | 6,267 |
| 2018 Senate special runoff: Hyde-Smith (R) v. Espy (D) | D+13.7 | R+7.3 | -20.9 | 6,476 |
| 2019 Governor: Reeves (R) v. Hood (D) | D+12.6 | R+5.1 | -17.7 | 6,005 |
| 2019 Lt. Governor: Hosemann (R) v. Hughes (D) | D+1.6 | R+20.0 | -21.6 | 5,886 |
| 2019 Attorney General: Fitch (R) v. Collins (D) | D+1.2 | R+15.7 | -16.8 | 5,946 |
| 2020 President: Trump (R) v. Biden (D) | D+0.5 | R+16.5 | -17.0 | 8,736 |
| 2020 Senate: Hyde-Smith (R) v. Espy (D) | D+5.2 | R+10.0 | -15.2 | 8,750 |
| 2023 Governor: Reeves (R) v. Presley (D) | D+13.3 | R+3.2 | -16.5 | 5,984 |
| 2023 Lt. Governor: Hosemann (R) v. Grover (D) | D+2.1 | R+21.5 | -23.6 | 5,856 |
| 2023 Attorney General: Fitch (R) v. Kemp Martin (D) | R+0.4 | R+16.1 | -15.7 | 5,934 |
| 2024 President: Trump (R) v. Harris (D) | R+5.0 | R+22.9 | -17.9 | 7,890 |
| 2024 Senate: Wicker (R) v. Pinkins (D) | R+6.9 | R+25.6 | -18.7 | 7,835 |
Margins are Republican minus Democrat, as a share of all votes cast. Turnout in the 2018 runoff was 26.0% lower than in the 2020 Senate race.
2024 presidential margin; Jasper outlined
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